TREE NEWS reports: CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost said Bitcoin’s trading range is narrowing between an active-supply support level near $71,300 and a capital break-even resistance level around $79,800. He noted the support price was tested twice in late 2023 before the current cycle began, while BTC stalled twice near the invested-capital cost-basis zone that year before breaking into a new cycle — a pattern he said resembles current market conditions.
CryptoQuant Analyst: Bitcoin Range Narrows Between $71.3K Support and $79.8K Resistance
The framing here matters more than the levels: the analyst is reading on-chain cost-basis bands as a compression setup, with the same two reference points having acted as a launchpad in the prior cycle. That makes this a structural observation about where holders are positioned, not a directional call, and it puts the emphasis on whether the range keeps tightening or resolves. The open question is whether the historical analogy holds at all — 2023 comparisons assume similar holder behavior, which is exactly what the narrowing range is testing.
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