Verisk Maplecroft Warns El Niño and War Heighten Asia Food Security Risk

This is a reminder that food security risk in Asia is now a compound story, not a weather story: fuel and fertilizer disruption from the Iran conflict collides with an El Niño-driven crop threat, and the two channels reinforce each other through input costs and yields. The exposure sits with major exporters and importers alike — India's rice, Indonesia's palm oil — so any supply response carries weight well beyond the region. Whether the monsoon shortfall and wildfire damage persist through the season, and whether input supply normalizes, is the open question.