TREE NEWS update: Bitcoin’s sharpest rally in five months has flipped short-term prediction market odds from bearish to a coin flip, but longer-term bets still price in a crash. Despite the price surge, traders remain skeptical about sustained gains.
Bitcoin Rally Fails to Convince Prediction Market Traders
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AI take
The divergence is the story: a spot move strong enough to reset near-term sentiment, yet not strong enough to dislodge the crash bias priced further out. That gap suggests positioning is being adjusted tactically rather than conviction being rebuilt, with prediction markets treating the rally as a liquidity event to fade rather than a regime change. The open question is whether the longer-dated contracts follow the short end or stay anchored to the downside.
Generated by AI for reference only.
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