TD Securities now expects the Federal Reserve to hike rates three times, starting in September, abandoning its prior forecast of a prolonged pause. The shift follows hotter-than-expected August CPI and...
US consumer sentiment fell to 47.8 in early September, missing all forecasts, as gasoline prices hit record September highs and inflation expectations jumped to 4.6%. With traders pricing a 90%...
The consensus view that shrinking populations doom economies and markets is being challenged. Output per person, technology and capital formation matter more than raw headcount — and the crowded demographic-doom...
Investors Are Completely Wrong About Demographics TREE NEWS reports: Population decline is not necessarily a fatal blow to economies or portfolios. This is the central argument gaining traction among economists...
The Bank of Japan is emerging as the most likely source of a cross-asset shock next week, as markets weigh a possible tweak to yield-curve control. A hawkish surprise could...
Bank of Japan, Not the Fed, May Be Next Week’s Biggest Market Risk TREE NEWS reports: While investors fixate on the Federal Reserve, it may be another central bank that...
Bitcoin's 22% gain and gold's 9.4% rise point to a reflationary regime taking shape. If the Fed holds rates in September, a fresh Q4 window for risk assets could open,...
A widow's plan to pay for every customer at her late husband's favorite restaurant highlights a real tension in modern payments: fraud-detection algorithms often flag legitimate bursts of spending. For...
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has crossed 7% for the first time in over a year, deepening the housing affordability crunch. The move reflects rising Treasury yields and expectations...
A 10-year annuity holder who is now short on cash faces surrender charges, ordinary-income taxation on gains, and a 10% penalty before age 59½. The case highlights a broader liquidity...
US core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month in August, above the 0.2% consensus, even as the annual rate fell to 2.4%. The upside surprise complicates the Fed's easing path and tests...
US August core CPI fell to 2.4% year-over-year, the lowest since March 2021, but the monthly core reading rose 0.3%, surpassing expectations. The mixed data, combined with strong employment, has...
The IEA has raised its 2025 global oil demand contraction forecast to 2.5 million bpd — the largest since COVID-19 — as the Iran war disrupts supply routes and depletes...
Brent crude has topped $107 per barrel and diesel crack spreads have hit a record $110 per barrel, prompting former Goldman Sachs commodities chief Jeff Currie to warn that the...
Stanley Druckenmiller criticized the Federal Reserve's dovish stance as 'absurd,' arguing rate cuts are unnecessary and warning of an AI earnings bubble. He has cut equity exposure to 20%, shorted...
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.96%, nearing the 5% psychological threshold, as federal funds futures priced a 70% chance of a Fed rate hike next week. Investors are debating...
US diesel prices crossed $6 per gallon for the first time ever, driven by Russian refining losses and Middle East shipping disruptions. The record comes just before peak autumn demand,...
Bitcoin's hold above $76,000 is being tested as traders cut exposure before the US CPI release. A hot print that drives the 10-year Treasury yield past 5% could send BTC...
US diesel prices hit $6.00 a gallon for the first time, with records in 28 states. The surge raises freight and producer costs, complicates the disinflation narrative, and keeps central...
Dr. Janette Nesheiwat, Trump's nominee for Surgeon General, disclosed investments in tobacco, fast food, and soda companies. The news is largely political but could draw ESG and regulatory scrutiny, with...
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